Great event! We really appreciated hearing from you Skip. I know putting on something like this isn't easy so I'm truly thankful for all the work the entire team put into pulling this off. Proud to be a member of the DSC Iowa Sportsman's Club and after last night a lifetime member at that!
Great point - in just about any market it's good to be cautious when others are so euphoric. When you start hearing things like "won't/can't lose money" then it's a good sign that things might be a bit overheated.
Yeah- There’s a few land agents and attorney’s I see that seem to get really great deals semi-frequently then turn around and sell them. Seems questionable from an ethical standpoint to me. I hope they know many of us know who they are too. I definitely wouldn’t be doing business with them.
We may not see $4K again but we could see a crash of that magnitude. Say rec land prices are averaging $10K, it’s possible it could go back to $7K. The reason it’s so common for us to think that can’t happen is because we can’t see or know what would cause it to do that today. True risks aren’t...
Fully agree…key word there is “typically”…but it’s definitely not always. The differences in degree of rise and fall can really be a game changer to from a uncorrelated/diversifier standpoint.
The real risks are the things we can’t see. Maybe there won’t be another Savings and Loan crisis but...
For those of us still in the accumulation phase of our lives we can only hope that will happen. For those in decumulation, they should be fine with the proper asset allocation.
I do 100% agree with what you say about long-term investment, I also agree with it being smart to diversify. I actually don’t believe in market timing for a diversified, long-term portfolio. Price still matters in this case but not quite as much.
Unless you are buying the land to hold for 20+...
Absolutely….but then, I’m personally a big believer in human ingenuity, America, and the power of capitalism.
Bottom line I believe the population will be larger (barring something catastrophic) people will still be buying and selling goods, advances in technology will make things more...
Stock market just hit all time highs. They aren't backing out. Land is typically a non-correlated asset to the stock market so the super rich use farmland as a diversifier. The stock market is the greatest wealth generating machine of all time and still will be 100 years from now...but the ride...
At this moment it's really hard to beat a risk free rate of 5.5% on cash. I'll gladly take that while I keep the powder dry for the right opportunity in the land market.
If one is a first time land buyer hoping to move into larger, and larger acreage over time with equity built up in a property....price matters...and even more so when leverage is applied. I'm not anti-long term land investment but I am anti-expensive. Basic economics would suggest low inventory...
Thank you! I’ll give that a shot this year. I started with just gly for a burn down which is what led to the issue. I quickly got on them with a 2,4-D/gly mix and that killed some and seemed to stunt the growth of most. I’d like to kill most this year.
This year I did three sprayings on a brand new plot. On the the third I broadcasted, rolled and sprayed. Added plot start when planting and plot boost a few weeks later. Worked great except I did end up in a battle with Marestail after the first sprayings (which is what led to three sprayings...
I agree…Asking prices are definitely high in many instances. I should have clarified that I’m referring to sales prices.
I’m not sure how many days of inventory are currently on the market or how it compares to historical norms but it’d be interesting to see.
I do believe not being as liquid is one great benefit of real estate.
Great points on why it's going to be tough for supply of Iowa rec ground to ever really meet the demand. There'd have to be some kind of shift in dynamics within the hunting community or something that shook us economically.
Thanks. Great advice for sure.
When I've made bigger leveraged purchases before (houses) I don't know that I've ever felt it was overpriced (I do feel like houses are overpriced today due to the same market dynamics) but there was certainly always just a little sense of not being fully...
Thanks! Agree on the bargain comment. The only metric I have to call something a bargain today is how far below market it's priced...and I know there aren't many of those deals out there with how efficient the land market is these days.
I do like your idea of finding the right small property...
I agree with you it's subjective. If I'm borrowing at current rates a bargain to me would be a property 20% under market price. If the rates were lower I'd consider a smaller margin to be a bargain.
I do believe the land market is as efficient as it's ever been and no doubt the pricing is lined...
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