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W.VA. Wrong on Winter Kill

blake

Life Member
Let me say that I am aware that this post is about the West Virginia DNR miscalculating the winter deer kill in that state.

What does it have to do with Iowa deer numbers? Maybe nothing, or perhaps everything, you decide and please share your thoughts.




West Virginia DNR Miscalculated Winter Deer Kill

CHARLESTON, W.Va. (AP) — The state Division of Natural Resources is blaming itself for West Virginia's disappointing buck kill during the 2010 deer season, a state official said.

West Virginia deer hunters killed 31 percent fewer bucks during the two-week gun season that ended Dec. 4 than they did last year. Preliminary data from game checking stations across the state indicate 43,226 bucks were killed during firearms season, down from 62,986 last year.

The DNR had expected the buck kill to be about the same as 2009.
The agency simply miscalculated deer mortality last winter, assistant wildlife chief Paul Johansen told the Charleston Gazette.

"We were wrong,'' Johansen said. "We're not afraid to admit it. We failed to recognize the amount of winter mortality, and we failed to factor that into our projections for the 2010 hunting season.''

Forage such as nuts was in short supply and the state's deer herd entered the winter with little to eat. They then endured a tough winter with the deepest snow in several years.

Other factors at work this season included this fall's bumper acorn crop, which kept deer in the woods where they're more difficult to find, poor weather on the season's two Saturdays, and an outbreak of epizootic hemorrhagic disease before the 2008 season that cut into the population.

Despite the sharp decline in the kill, Johansen said the deep population remains healthy and should rebound quickly — but hunters can expect more conservative limits on doe hunting.

"The sky isn't falling,'' he said. "We've had sharp drop-offs in the buck kill before. From 1997 to 1998, we had a 26 percent decline. From 2002 to 2003, we had a 24 percent decline. Granted, this decline is larger, but it's nothing we can't fix.''

The agency's deer management plan calls for lower doe harvests to increase the population.

"We base each county's regulations on the number of bucks killed per square mile. If hunters in a county kill fewer bucks per square mile than prescribed in the plan, we recommend more conservative antlerless regulations for that county,'' Johansen said. ``If they kill more bucks than prescribed, we recommend more liberal antlerless reguluations.''
The result should be a slow recovery.

"It won't happen overnight, though,'' Johansen cautioned. "In counties where the decline was less than 31 percent, the population will recover fairly quickly. In counties where the decline was greater, the population will recover more slowly. My guess is that it will take us a couple of years to get back up to the 60,000 level.''
 
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Sounds just like Wisconsin. Except W.VA. is more gentleman-like and they can admit they were wrong. Wisc DNR act like women. They are NEVER wrong.
 
I don't quite understand, if the DNR had not under estimated the winter kill what would they have done differently to increase the buck kill? Would they have issued fewer licenses and if they had wouldn't that have still resulted in the same number of bucks killed? Would they have issued more licenses and would that have increased their buck kill even though they inferred that there weren't enough bucks and that is why the kill was down so far? Also I don't really understand how they can gain more than 30 percent of their buck kill in just 2 years.

The only correlation that I see with our situation in Iowa is that since we are purposely killing off our deer regeneration source (does) if we have a disastrous winter, with our already too low numbers we are in real trouble for the foreseeable future. Just think about where we would be if we lost 31% of our deer herd, after an over harvested hunting season. Just round type numbers The DNR says we harvest about 33 % of our deer herd so with a harvest of 125,000 deer that means we have a population of around 375,000. After the season that leaves about 250,000 deer. Now if we were to loose 30% of those that is 75,000 animals dropping the herd to 175,000 total animals. Even with a birth and survival rate of 25%, because of stress and poor nutrition in the spring, this would only increase the numbers to about 218,000 for the next hunting season and with a 30% harvest that would take the harvest clear down to only 65,000 deer. If we were dumb enough to continue our ill-advised harvest of more than 60% does that would put Iowa in a world of hurt for deer hunting for years and years. That is how I see it at least.
 
Thank you Bowmaker!

Finally someone using the numbers to explain the situation. It can't be any simplier then that no matter what the DNR says.
 
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