Yeah, I know. I'm definitely not an expert by any means...but one thing I'm certain of is that there is no certainty of when the best time to be in a tree is. If I could put my money on anything, it would be the weather. I'd take a bitter cold day on Nov. 25th over a warm day on Nov. 7th. For me personally, I've never tagged a buck before Nov. 10th, and all of my trail cam data shows mature deer movement during the day peaking around Nov. 12th, and again around the 20th. I've personally seen the biggest buck of my life on the 26th of November who was out cruising for does. Then again, I can remember one afternoon on October 28th a few years back where I saw a giant 8 point tending a doe out in an alfalfa field 50 yards from my stand, and he wouldn't leave her.
I guess that's why I conclude that if its late October or November any time, get in a tree. Cold weather just increases your chances. I'm taking the 11th-15th and Thanksgiving week off this year.