I am overrun by turkeys and get cats nonstop
Not saying there isn't a correlation. Not saying there is.
I did talk to DNR at length about this topic. They swear there is zero correlation....
.....
I have talked with several DNR personnel, at length, over the years about this too and yes, they remain convinced that there is no cat/turk correlation. I remain skeptical that their opinion is correct. The key reason why is that the normal reasons, which are very valid BTW, given to explain the very precipitous turk decline do NOT explain what I, and other neighbors, have personally witnessed.
That is...1. Predators taking out nests - very valid IMO. 2. Weather/rain - that floods nests and/or kills poults from exposure - also very valid. BUT, and I cannot stress this enough...when our turk population was in free fall, about 10'ish years ago now, we COMMONLY found dead, ADULT turkey carcasses. The primary reasons given by the DNR, again, very valid IMO, affect eggs/poults, not ADULTS.
Every adult carcass we found in those days was eaten, usually freshly. On one particular day my son found 4 or 5 fresh dead adults, which I found terribly unusual, as in all my years I rarely if ever found a dead adult turkey carcass...let alone 4 or 5 in one day! It so happened that when we came out to the road after several hours in our timber, we met some neighbors at the road...guess what...they reported finding several dead turks that day too! What the...? Roughly 10 dead adults in say 300 acres or so. Unreal.
So while I do not dispute that nest predators and weather can really do a number on overall numbers, I do not for a minute think those factors explain finding so many dead adults in such a tight time frame. Through the years I have come to wonder though if there was some sort of disease factor that killed the birds and then something, bobcat or otherwise, found them and ate them up. That is a plausible explanation to why we found so many dead adults in the time period IMO. There is some "movement" on this front as more and more agencies are studying why the turk pop has dropped so much over a wide range of the whole country. Be glad you still have good numbers...I miss a good spring gobbler hunt.
But it is also true that our steep decline in turks coincided perfectly with the rise of bobcat sightings...so I am still leaning towards that being a factor. Thus concludes today's rant.