I was just on the IDNR site to get the NR tag numbers for 2007 for the other post and decided to check the harvest by county numbers. It looks like we are in for another sizable decline again this year. The total reported harvest stands at 118,572 as of today. In looking back at the trends in wildlife it shows that last year the January antler-less season added about 9,000. So if we allow a few more for the late ML and bow season and about the same for the Jan season that will give us a final harvest of around 130,000 or a little over. In 2005 we killed 211,000 and 3 years latter we killed around 130,000. In 2005 there were 391,864 licenses issued to kill those 211,451 deer and in 2007 we issued 389,163 to kill 146,214. I can't find the number of licenses for 2008 yet, I assume, because they are still for sale, but I will guess that it will still be close to 400,000 because of all the additional doe tags made available. Many people blamed the low harvest last year on the weather and said that we still have too many deer Iowa. While this year also suffered some weather, it has been not far from many other normal hunting seasons. The only logical reason for the lower numbers to me is that lack of deer. Our harvest numbers have fallen by 40% in just 3 years even though there were nearly the same number of hunters. How far are we willing to go?
In 2007 there were about 87,300 actual does killed out of the total of 146,214. If we estimate that most of those does would have birthed twins, we can figure 2.5 times the number of does killed. That accounts for the original doe and 1.5 fawns for each. That means that our deer population was with out 218,215 deer for this year, at least partly accounting for the drop in harvest. My real question is what does this mean for the 2009 and 2010 seasons. I firmly believe that our deer population is half or less of what it was in 2005 and if that is truly the case we can expect a harvest of close to 100,00 for the 2009 season. I feel that combining the lack of deer numbers, the increasing lack of access, and now the proposed license fee hike( which I do happen to agree with) will drive many people away from deer hunting which will lead to even more price increases. One possible good result is that many NR also won't be willing to pay $500 or $600 for a license with a less than 20 percent chance to fill it, and land prices will fall back to more practical levels soon.
In 2007 there were about 87,300 actual does killed out of the total of 146,214. If we estimate that most of those does would have birthed twins, we can figure 2.5 times the number of does killed. That accounts for the original doe and 1.5 fawns for each. That means that our deer population was with out 218,215 deer for this year, at least partly accounting for the drop in harvest. My real question is what does this mean for the 2009 and 2010 seasons. I firmly believe that our deer population is half or less of what it was in 2005 and if that is truly the case we can expect a harvest of close to 100,00 for the 2009 season. I feel that combining the lack of deer numbers, the increasing lack of access, and now the proposed license fee hike( which I do happen to agree with) will drive many people away from deer hunting which will lead to even more price increases. One possible good result is that many NR also won't be willing to pay $500 or $600 for a license with a less than 20 percent chance to fill it, and land prices will fall back to more practical levels soon.