I think if you dive into the details more people could afford ground than they think… even if very small to start. Sticking to OP… it has been an interesting couple of years to say the least. I watch this very closely. The rise of property prices has also brought an influx of new companies. That is an exponential amount of new agents all trying to do the same thing. You can’t disconnect these two happenings; they are very much interrelated IMO. The old ROI numbers on rec ground just don’t seem to apply anymore. A few years ago 4% ROI on rec ground was kind of the floor in most cases. Now, when it comes to rec ground, 4% is portrayed as a deal to jump on. Wow… that’s a big shift in mindset. I will always be looking, but personally, I’m super cautious right now.
As far as tillable ground goes….. deals on that for sure, but the floodgates have not opened. I keep thinking the dam has to break at some point but it seems to just trickle. Commodity prices have been down for several years and I don’t think it can go on forever. Either they come back up or more people are going under or (I think). The demographics on Iowa owned farms are super interesting if you look them up. Lots of ground is going to change hands in the next 10-15 years. That’s a guarantee.
Lots of theories on where things are headed, but that can all change in a blink of an eye. I do know ground is the one thing that you can’t just “make more of”. Demand, over the long haul, will always go up.
As far as tillable ground goes….. deals on that for sure, but the floodgates have not opened. I keep thinking the dam has to break at some point but it seems to just trickle. Commodity prices have been down for several years and I don’t think it can go on forever. Either they come back up or more people are going under or (I think). The demographics on Iowa owned farms are super interesting if you look them up. Lots of ground is going to change hands in the next 10-15 years. That’s a guarantee.
Lots of theories on where things are headed, but that can all change in a blink of an eye. I do know ground is the one thing that you can’t just “make more of”. Demand, over the long haul, will always go up.