Land prices summer 2025 & on….

[Sligh1]

I’ll make this really short & add as needed. Things are “ok” - I still would say, slight edge to seller. Some farms sitting but at same time, inventory very tight… the right ones move, like always I guess.
SOOOOO….. here’s my “trying to be helpful” iowawhitetail 2 cents from one schmucks perspective …. IF u r thinking of buying land, I kinda think now is the time to pull the trigger IF you are able. Here’s the “gamble” or “speculation” for what it’s worth…. Things have slowed a bit so a “good to fair buy” is clearly possible now …. Here’s the KEY I want you guys to at least have in your minds…. Maybe happens, maybe doesn’t…. IF IF Trump gets his way & the powers behind the scenes- they are gonna fight like frigin crazy to get these rates down. Powell’s term will be up (I think may???) if he doesn’t resign. Trump & the deficit hawks want rates down “3%” because: 1) it would reduce deficit by $1 TRILLION per year in interest & 2) would turbo charge economy…..
& yes- I get inflation needs to be in check but if they keep lowering energy prices & so on …. We probably could keep it in check.
Now- IF IF IF that happens. Or even 2%…. Buckle up!!! Ground will go up $1-2k per acre very fast. I’m not saying rates will get pushed down for sure… if I was a “betting man” - I guess id bet on lower rates. Maybe wrong. But- if you do believe rates will come down…. NOW would be the time to buy. It will make another run up!!! If you can’t do it anyways, not a buyer, don’t think rates will go down…. Then this post is irrelevant to you. All I’m saying…. Just chew on the dynamics here, what could happen & Just understand that one fundamental reality… IF IF IF rates get cut big time- ground is gonna shoot up in price very fast.

 

[Hardwood11]

Trump will replace Powell… almost a sure bet in 26. Scott Bessent is a candidate, if he’s the new Secretary he will lower rates. He’s a very accomplished financial person & knows the inside of the economy & bond market!

Any slightly higher rate could be refinanced ? Just a strategy !

 

[deerdown]

At this point, anything is possible. I feel like I'm living in the matrix. Things that made sense 20 years ago make no sense today. I think that's why Warren Buffett is having such a hard time investing the last 5 , 10 years. He missed out on a lot of gains by selling some stocks, GS as an example. Nothing makes sense to me anymore, not the stock market, not Bitcoin or the other 4000 alt coins, not land, not half our population wanting free housing and healthcare for illegals but letting it's own citizens suffer. The DOW could go to 50k by the end of the year, land up 2k, and corn to 3.50... is there that much money sloshing around? Must be.... Buffet indicator at 205% How do land prices track with Stocks? Don't ask me, the more I learn, the less I know....

 

[Trapshooter1]

Watched Market to Market, the economist on there seemed to think Powell should be cutting rates right now, with the way the economy looks.(And hasn't because Trump told him to) I think Ag land has come down some but not enough to reflect the current commodity markets.

I'm willing to bet Trump will can Powell at the first opportunity. Does that means rates will take a nose dive? Idk.

Judging by the big beautiful bill, the plan is to print their way out of this financial mess, which is not great. Land will continue to rise(if they drop rates significantly).