Really you know this for sure????
I see you addressed the "if" what about personal expectations.
I agree this deer could get big but some come off pushing age and antler size so heavy it is crazy.
What if this is a new or younger hunter and he gets all this advice? Now he holds out for years waiting for this great mithical animal but never sees it. Or shoots this deer and feels regret. Finally he gets frustrated because he sets goals to meet yours and stops hunting all together.
I know some of your dreams are have every buck grow till 5+ and you are trying to educate everyone to do this, just like back in the day everyone was taught to only shoot bucks.
Most of you pushing this have your own ground and food plots. Then your ground becomes a sanctuary when the pressure gets heavy. So letting a deer walk for you is easy.
Oh Cooter, busting my balls, you goof ball
![Big Grin :D :D](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
It's all good.
OK.... I should have written some fine print
![Wink ;) ;)](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
NO- I do not know 100% sure that buck will reach 200" if he's fully mature.... He might get an injury OR he might just not make a predictable jump that most would. I would lay my $ on it he hits 200" if he got 5, 6 or 7-ish. Yes, I could be wrong there!
I was just stating my opinion. And if it's the kid's 1st buck, hey whatever. If it's the kid's 105th buck, whatever too. I shot several young bucks when I STARTED hunting and I think that's an area that hey, that's totally cool as we all know there's NO QUESTION these kids are ecstatic to shoot anything those 1st couple years. If it TRULY fills your season and fills you up as a hunter, great. I just know too many folks (nothing to do with this thread) that just need to get something on the ground with horns no matter what, I know many who regret what they shoot and I know many who have a garage full of young tiny bucks that they don't give a piss about and just wanna kill bucks. BIOLOGY doesn't back what THOSE guys do and I think that should at least be ACCOUNTED for to SOME degree. These rascals are not ONLY here for our shooting pleasure, we have a duty, in my opinion, to account for management, biology, etc. that includes age structure, sex ratios, genetics, etc.
NO- no one has to set a bar a XYZ point... 5.5 like I CHOOSE to do for "good reason" in my OPINION (opinion BUT I'll back up WHY it makes excellent biological sense). I'm in the VAST VAST Minority with that too, keep that in mind. I was after 5.5 year old deer when I was hunting PERMISSION ground with no food plots that ranged from 40 to 160 acres and I was successful, was NOT easy. Let's say there really isn't any 5.5's (or WHATEVER) in your neighborhood, maybe you challenge yourself to 4.5's OR maybe there's lots of 2.5's and few 3.5's so you choose to go for 3.5's. WHATEVER- I think it makes sense to challenge yourself on something realistic that also is a good biological decision as well.
5.5's are FAR from mythical creatures in MOST parts of the state. 3.5's are common in almost all settings (yes, I know a few will say NO, I agree there's a few places that are exceptions to any rule)... I'd say ON AVERAGE a 4.5 is a tough but attainable animal on average. I've killed 5.5's on every type of land I can think of in IA in many counties over many years. Did I have to pass a TON of 3.5's to see ONE 5.5? YEP. Was it hard? YEP. Did I eat tag sandwhiches ever? YEP. Was I ok with NOT shooting a buck for just the sake of it, letting young bucks walk and going home empty handed? YEP. Will I go home empty handed this year if no 5.5 gives me a shot? YEP. Do I enjoy hunting even if I don't kill something? YEP. You get my point.
At the end of the day, to each his own, you're gonna do what you wanna do and same with me BUT I'll make a biological argument anyday and I love what I'm doing. Hope you say the same. Good luck out there!