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What's next for Republicans?

jflournoy said:
Early voting is notoriously difficult to draw actual, real-life conclusions from. Especially in states where you are not required to register as one of the 2 major political parties. Not to mention there's probably a better than even chance that Trump continues to lose vote share in traditionally Republican heavy big city suburbs all over the country, like he did in 2020 compared to 2016. Also, comparisons in 2024 to voter habits and patterns in 2020 are going to be pretty much useless given we were still in the throes of a major Covid pandemic at that time and that definitely affected *how* a lot of people voted (mail vs. in-person). We haven't got a Covid pandemic going on anymore so how people will vote is completely up in the air. That's why drawing conclusions from early voting is tough for even the experts to do. Your mileage may vary. You might get lucky and look like a savant, or you might end up just having egg all over your face.
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Reminds me of a Kamala Harris word salad response. Blah, blah, but blah blah blah .,,,I grew up in a middle class family with 11 kids..,blah blah blah. It comes down to everyday issues for most Americans. Cost of groceries, housing, gas, and their kids education. Then it’s crime, international issues, and our military. Period.
 
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This thread is just further proof that many of us our living in our own information bubbles. I am honestly a little scared at how some will react if their over built expectations do not come true. There is not one reliable poll, if there even is such a thing anymore, that shows this election as a blow out either way. If you're looking at the polymarket poll or other betting polls you better do some digging.....
 
Hardwood11 said:
I’ve read about 30 articles today that said Trump is crushing it in the early voting , polls have him way up, betting markets show him way up . A recent poll has Trump up 7 in Arizona . The Senator from Pennsylvania said he is willing to work across the aisle with Trump ! Basically saying Trump will win.

At this point Republicans are leading the early voting on Nevada which was described as “shocking”!

I’ll take those articles, the betting markets and comments by Democrats as a very good sign for Trump. Sorry I don’t think your election predictions are accurate at all… it almost feels like you are Harris cheerleader ? I think it’s over for her !View attachment 128376
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Maybe I'm assuming too much here, but....do you realize that voters who vote early cannot vote on Election Day? How is voting early (from either Republicans or Democrats) anything other than cannibalizing the election day vote? Can you explain your reasoning there?

Interesting that you consider Halperin to be a strong source. "In response to more than a dozen allegations of workplace sexual harassment and sexual assault at his prior position at ABC News, Halperin was fired by both Showtime Networks and NBC News towards the end of October 2017." But since you do, did you see where he said the other day that he was pitched a story about Trump, that if true, would end Trump's hopes for the Presidency? Halperin is all about the clicks.

Re: betting markets, if you're talking about Polymarket, did you know it is illegal for any U.S. Citizen to bet on Polymarket? How are the results of Polymarket indicative of anything regarding the mindset of American voters?

I think the only thing I predicted is that Trump is likely to continue losing suburban voting share in 2024 like the trend was in 2020 from 2016. I will stand by that prediction. Don't think I predicted anything other than that.
 
Every reliable poll says this is a dead heat.

I have a terrible feeling why the blowout news blast is occurring.

We are being prepped for widespread election tampering claims that will be false.

It will start on election night.

Hang on to your hats people.
 
www.kcrg.com

Iowa Secretary of State finds non-citizens voted or registered to vote

An audit of Iowa’s voter registration list came across more than 2,000 people who have self-reported they are not citizens but they voted or had registered to vote.
www.kcrg.com www.kcrg.com

2000 illegal voters currently in Iowa, and that's from a state that's somewhat trying to prevent it. Just imagine how many there are in the liberal states that don't try preventing it. How do you even register to vote if you aren't a citizen? I attached Iowa's form below. Do you just check the I don't have one box in ID number section, and no one does any checking? They just give you a voter registration card?
 
mplane72 said:
This thread is just further proof that many of us our living in our own information bubbles. I am honestly a little scared at how some will react if their over built expectations do not come true. There is not one reliable poll, if there even is such a thing anymore, that shows this election as a blow out either way. If you're looking at the polymarket poll or other betting polls you better do some digging.....
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True dat. Every bit.
 
jflournoy said:
Maybe I'm assuming too much here, but....do you realize that voters who vote early cannot vote on Election Day? How is voting early (from either Republicans or Democrats) anything other than cannibalizing the election day vote? Can you explain your reasoning there?

Interesting that you consider Halperin to be a strong source. "In response to more than a dozen allegations of workplace sexual harassment and sexual assault at his prior position at ABC News, Halperin was fired by both Showtime Networks and NBC News towards the end of October 2017." But since you do, did you see where he said the other day that he was pitched a story about Trump, that if true, would end Trump's hopes for the Presidency? Halperin is all about the clicks.

Re: betting markets, if you're talking about Polymarket, did you know it is illegal for any U.S. Citizen to bet on Polymarket? How are the results of Polymarket indicative of anything regarding the mindset of American voters?

I think the only thing I predicted is that Trump is likely to continue losing suburban voting share in 2024 like the trend was in 2020 from 2016. I will stand by that prediction. Don't think I predicted anything other than that.
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I think you could be right about cannibalizing the vote. I can see instances of severe weather, work fatigue, family emergencies etc. allowing votes to be made that otherwise would not. One thing it does do, alleviate the wait and stress at the polling stations. Some people just do not want to stand in line or deal with people and I do not blame them. It's a modernization taking place I suppose.

I agree that Trump will continue to lose the suburban vote as that is a cultural shift taking place as well. I went to a gathering of a dozen or so couples this summer, all affluent, all "educated", and all in the 45-60 age range. I was amazed how little they knew about actual issues, yet all were polarized by social issues. The abortion issue, school vouchers, AEA issue, seem to be the talking points with this demographic and of course all were for the so called "common sense gun legislation". The key, none of these people are what I classify as the direct producers in the world. We had management for HR & IT, counselors, real estate, a lawyer etc...All people who live in bubbles. the host was my good friend and he told me to sit back and take in night. It was interesting to say the least. Political PR and the opinion media have alarming influence over public opinion.
 
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2 compliments to the Harris campaign…. 1 is just an observation but I’ve seen far more Harris signs than Biden signs 4 years ago.
2nd: one genuine comment I will make…. Kamala has NOT made the campaign about “I’m a woman!!!!! Vote for me because I’m a woman!!!” Or anything of the sorts. Even saying “that’s obvious so I don’t need to discuss it and I need to earn votes”. The media & lib shills around her have but she has not. & props for that.
Do I think she’s a disastrous candidate & disagree with 99% of the policies she hasn’t discussed? Sure. But I can still call a spade a spade on 2 points for their side.
btw: trumps jokes at the Al smith dinner, McDonalds stint & how he’s done the long form podcasts- political brilliance.
 
Sligh1 said:
2 compliments to the Harris campaign…. 1 is just an observation but I’ve seen far more Harris signs than Biden signs 4 years ago.
2nd: one genuine comment I will make…. Kamala has NOT made the campaign about “I’m a woman!!!!! Vote for me because I’m a woman!!!” Or anything of the sorts. Even saying “that’s obvious so I don’t need to discuss it and I need to earn votes”. The media & lib shills around her have but she has not. & props for that.
Do I think she’s a disastrous candidate & disagree with 99% of the policies she hasn’t discussed? Sure. But I can still call a spade a spade on 2 points for their side.
btw: trumps jokes at the Al smith dinner, McDonalds stint & how he’s done the long form podcasts- political brilliance.
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Doing Joe Rogan tomorrow.
 
IowaBowHunter1983 said:
The abortion issue is a losing argument for Republicans. It doesn't really matter how you personally feel about that issue if it loses elections.
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For sure. I get so sick of the "my way or no way" politics. I feel there is a pious group on the right that holds the party back and we seem have our fair share representing us on the state level. ON the national level we need only to look at the mess the GOP made of the speaker position. Embarrassing. The left appointed the worst speaker in history not once but twice and somehow the GOP managed to look stupid and incompetent. You can't make this stuff up.
 
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jflournoy said:
Maybe I'm assuming too much here, but....do you realize that voters who vote early cannot vote on Election Day? How is voting early (from either Republicans or Democrats) anything other than cannibalizing the election day vote? Can you explain your reasoning there?

Interesting that you consider Halperin to be a strong source. "In response to more than a dozen allegations of workplace sexual harassment and sexual assault at his prior position at ABC News, Halperin was fired by both Showtime Networks and NBC News towards the end of October 2017." But since you do, did you see where he said the other day that he was pitched a story about Trump, that if true, would end Trump's hopes for the Presidency? Halperin is all about the clicks.

Re: betting markets, if you're talking about Polymarket, did you know it is illegal for any U.S. Citizen to bet on Polymarket? How are the results of Polymarket indicative of anything regarding the mindset of American voters?

I think the only thing I predicted is that Trump is likely to continue losing suburban voting share in 2024 like the trend was in 2020 from 2016. I will stand by that prediction. Don't think I predicted anything other than that.
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The betting markets are much more accurate then any polls.
 
PA is as corrupt as they come. Trust me PA officials need to watch Allegheny, Erie, and Philadelphia counties. Fraud throughout.

My wife’s best friend is very put together black female business owner from Erie. The Dem party approached her to run for a certain political office.

They said we guarantee you win but you must support the progressive agenda. She replied, you assume I’m a Dem because I’m black, I’m a conservative Republican. More importantly she asked, how are you going to guarantee I win? Crickets.
 
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